Bitcoin: Up, down, or sideways? Breaking crypto’s next chapter

Bitcoin’s historic rise can be traced back to how it has gained momentum in the last 12 months. The token is up by 144.69% at the time of drafting this article, with speculation that BTC would soon surpass the $65k mark. However, it is subjected to a volatility factor, which adds worries to investors irrespective of their original goals.

BTC’s price was dancing around $44k, but it is now down to around $42k. Although this development does not impact long-term accumulators, short-term traders are undoubtedly examining their graphs to determine the break-even point and the time required to execute a profitable transition.

Having said that, a question that is up for discussion is where Bitcoin will stand in the next 5 years, assuming that is an ideal window for the majority of the holders to earn profits.

Factors influencing Bitcoin’s future

Bitcoin is miles away from the interference of third parties. This still does not shed light on the fact that no factors influence its future. Be it regulations or adoption across the world, Bitcoin is still hampered by several factors, which can be briefly classified and explained below:

Technology

The more blockchain technology advances, the better the future of Bitcoin will be. A leak in the technology or the host network will make the ecosystem vulnerable to exploitation. As a result, not only the holders’ data and their funds are at risk.

That is likely to instill a sense of fear among novice traders, who would then choose to make a transition back to traditional methods of investment. Lightning Network is a scaling solution that works as a second layer for the Bitcoin Network. It has emerged as an option that could boost Bitcoin’s future.

Regulation

El Salvador has incorporated cryptocurrency into its established financial system. The government’s support of the token has increased the sense of security among Bitcoin holders. This provides sufficient evidence that government regulations can, in fact, support the market sustainability of Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency.

A regulatory clarity, Spot Bitcoin ETF, for example, may not control the volatility factor. Still, it will offer a helping hand to investors, helping them understand the investment structure before expanding their portfolios.

Institutional adoption

Institutional investors, including, but not limited to, banks and hedge funds, can influence the future of Bitcoin. They will comprise the main body for investment purposes and guide those venturing into the territory for the first time.

This, again, is less likely to control volatility. It may, nevertheless, help draw a pattern to better judge the movement of the BTC price in different time frames—year end or year beginning.

Market sentiment

Market sentiment covers the public’s reaction and the media’s coverage. Negativity in either of them leaves Bitcoin struggling for survival, considering it a new financial product despite being 10+ years in existence.

It may be primarily social media and influencer marketing that contribute to the ascent of Bitcoin. This necessitates community members to serve as BTC ambassadors to disseminate information and raise cryptocurrency awareness.

Exploring potential scenarios

Bullish case

It means that BTC follows an upward trajectory and fetches handsome profits for its holders. BTC is currently at $41,997.86, and Bitcoin future predictions estimate that it may reach $100,000 by the end of 2025. This will be fueled by Bitcoin halving and Spot Bitcoin ETF, both due next year.

Bearish case

The Fed may cut the rate to make more capital available. Assuming things change, Bitcoin could go down with a lack of investment and withdrawals at a loss. Experts have set a resistance level of $38k, assuming $100,000 is indeed the target for the end of the next year.

Sideways case

Chances are dim, yet the community expects that Bitcoin may stand still for the next 5 years. This is based on the assumption that volatility will be limited and that Bitcoin will match traditional investment products’ behavior.

Investing in Bitcoin

Bitcoin remains a risky investment. It surely has fetched profits for holders. Recently, a significant number of investors have lost their funds, and this fact cannot be ignored. A couple of strategies that one may want to consider are accumulation and dollar-cost averaging.

Buy Bitcoin if the investment is for the long term; short-term results may not yield the desired bottom line or even the desired break-even point. People often refer to Bitcoin as digital Gold. Meaning, invest to hold it for years in the locker, then selling it when the price hits the roof.

Conclusion

Cryptocurrency adoption is a long-standing issue. Bitcoin is dominating the charts with many investors who continue to worry about their portfolios. Crypto is aimed at offering financial freedom; however, that is at the cost of high risk, which not everyone can afford. Blockchain technology will have to advance along with decentralization. Only then will financial factors contribute to its success if not done by the government or others.

Roxanne Williams

Roxanne Williams has recently joined as a market reporter for CryptoNewsZ - the 24/7 crypto news site, where she produces recent stories, technical analysis and price updates on world's leading cryptocurrencies.

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