Dollar Strength Remains High as Traders Wait for Tapering
On Wednesday, the dollar was trading at its highest levels, driven higher by the U.S. rates and aided by market concerns about the Federal Reserve would begin to remove the support as global economic headwinds mount.
The Japanese yen is a currency that is sensitive to the U.S. yields because higher rates might attract capital out of Japan. It hit an 18-month low of 111.685 per dollar in Asia.
The euro was trading at $1.1687, having dropped to a one-month overnight low, and was on the verge of hitting critical support around its 2021 low of $1.1664 and its Nov 2020 low of $1.1602.
The dollar was strong elsewhere, with the dollar index versus other major currencies rising to an 11-month high of 93.805. It was last trading at 92.728, just below that level.
Treasury yields have risen recently, having a benchmark 10-year rate which increases to 25 basis points in all five sessions and reaching 1.5548 percent, as the Fed prepares to taper before the end of the year and inflation appears to be sticky than previously expected.
As 2021 approaches its end, the markets are in a twilight zone compared to the unfettered euphoria at the start of the year, Deutsche Bank analysts wrote in a report that improved estimates on the dollar and suggested a bet against the euro.
They further added statements about Stagflationary dynamics, a weaker GDP but a hawkish Fed providing limited space for dollar depreciation.
Energy costs are rising with the Fed’s tone, raising concerns about the development of China’s prospects, which are now jeopardized by the dramatic fallout at developer China Evergrande and outgoes over rolling power affecting output.
Concerns about the economic effect of a gas scarcity and rush for gasoline sent sterling 1.2 percent down against the strengthening dollar overnight, its worst daily drop in more than a year. Overnight, MSCI’s emerging markets currency index fell to its lowest level in three weeks, and it continued to plummet on Wednesday to a one-month low.
Jane Foley, a senior F.X. strategist at Rabobank in London, feels that the dollar will not fall considerably until emerging market trust has been restored. Top forex brokers, do not have to worry about the currency fall. You can find more details here on forex brokers
The Australian and New Zealand dollars witnessed a fall in value, with the kiwi falling to a new one-month low of $0.6939. The Australian dollar fell to $0.7227.
Next week, both nations’ central banks will meet with swaps pricing pointing to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand following Norges Bank and raising rates.
Japan’s governing party will elect a new leader on Wednesday, who will almost definitely become the country’s next prime minister.
