Toncoin Price Eyes $2 as Santiment Data Shows Whales Accumulation

As of April 10, 2026, Toncoin has emerged as a focal point for on-chain analysts, staging a localized 5% recovery even as the broader market remains in a defensive position. The intraday move is supported by major whale accumulation, which is beginning to create a notable bullish divergence against $TON’s longer-term bearish trend. With the ecosystem’s integration into the global messaging giant Telegram reaching new heights, the focus is shifting from “price survival” to “structural breakout.”

Toncoin Whale Accumulation Hits 3-Month High

According to Santiment data, the top 100 largest whale addresses have collectively accumulated 189,730 more $TON over the past three months, representing a 2.5% rise in their holdings. The aggressive absorption of supply occurs even though the #29 ranked coin has lost nearly two-thirds of its market cap since its all-time high in August 2025.

​Historically, this type of “silent accumulation” during a bear cycle is a precursor to a high-velocity relief rally. When the largest stakeholders increase their exposure while retail sentiment remains at “Extreme Fear,” it often suggests that a localized bottom has been forged.

Currently, Telegram’s Toncoin ecosystem maintains a robust $3.18 billion market capitalization, with 24-hour trading volume reaching $154 million, indicating that liquidity is returning to support the bullish trajectory.

Toncoin Price Fluctuates in a Symmetrical Squeeze

Looking at the Toncoin price chart, we can see a period of distribution that saw $TON test lows near $1.21 earlier in the week. At present, $TON has established a consistent green ascending support line that has caught every minor pullback over the last 48 hours, aiding the price toward its current $1.283 valuation.

However, the path upward is being capped by a stubborn red descending resistance line that has suppressed every breakout attempt since the most recent peak. The visual data shows the price is currently approaching the apex of a symmetrical triangle, a pattern that reflects a standoff between buyers and sellers. The $1.29 to $1.30 range is acting as a heavy supply zone (marked by the pink horizontal band), and a definitive close above this mark is required to confirm a shift in short-term bias.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the lower timeframes is oscillating near 55, suggesting a neutral-to-bullish stance with plenty of “fuel” left before entering overbought territory. Simultaneously, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is beginning to trend upward, confirming that the whale accumulation noted by Santiment is indeed translating into active buy-side pressure on the order books.

​The network’s fundamental utility is being bolstered by its exclusive role in the Telegram Mini App economy. With the recent launch of self-custodial TON wallets for U.S. users, the platform is tapping into a massive engaged user base for payments and rewards. The “real-world” integration provides a utility floor that many purely speculative altcoins lack, effectively turning every Telegram user into a potential network participant.

If the token can successfully break and close above the $1.30 resistance on high volume, the next major target is the $1.35 – $1.40 range. A reclaim of this level would signal a move toward a full macro reversal, potentially eyeing the $1.50 psychological milestone as the “Mini App” adoption narrative accelerates.

$Ton can likely slide down to the $1.22 support of the green ascending support line, near $1.26 fails to hold under selling pressure. Our price prediction suggests a break below this level would extend the monthly slide toward the $1.15 liquidity pool.