Bitcoin Breaks Inverted Flag Support Amid Macro Uncertainty

Bitcoin breaks inverted flag support as macroeconomic uncertainty weighs on price, signaling potential further downside and increased market caution.
Sahil MahadikSahil Mahadik
Written by Sahil Mahadik
Harsh ChauhanHarsh Chauhan
Fact checked by Harsh Chauhan

Published Dec 18, 2025, 04:22 UTC

Bitcoin Price

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  • The Bitcoin price gave a decisive breakout from the support trend of an inverted flag pattern.
  • November Core inflation is projected to hold near 3.0% year over year, in line with September levels.
  • The daily relative strengths index (RSI) are 37% accentuates a bearish sentiment among market participants for prolonged downtrend.

The pioneer cryptocurrency Bitcoin recorded a 1.75% drop during Wednesday U.S. market hours to trade at $85,900. The selling pressure emerged amid broader market uncertainty surrounding the upcoming interest rate decision by the Bank of Japan. As crypto participants wait for the next inflation measure— Core CPI data— the Bitcoin price loses key technical support, signaling a risk for prolonged correction.

US Jobless Rate at Four-Year High as Markets Eye Key Inflation Data

Recent labor statistics released for November 2025 show that the jobless rate was at 4.6 percent, the highest rate in more than four years. Nonfarm employers added 64,000 positions, a small increase after a large decline of 105,000 the month before, affected by federal workforce cuts related to previous buyouts and operating pauses.

These figures reflect a deceleration of hiring momentum with gains being concentrated in industries such as health care and construction and losses in transportation, warehousing, and government positions. Broader measures of underutilization of labor also edged upward.

Futures trading data from the CME FedWatch platform currently reflects 24.4 percent for a 25 basis point decrease in interest rates at the January 2026 policy meeting, reflecting adjusted expectations for monetary easing in the face of continued economic moderation.

Market focus is now shifting to the CPI numbers for November due to be released on December 18, 2025. Forecasts peg the core measure (excluding food and energy) to stand at about 3.0 percent year-on-year, which would be in line with the September reading following 3.1 percent in August.

Amidst these developments, what commentary analyst Darkfost pointed out was the upcoming inflation figures but noted that the growth rate of Bitcoin supply was still below 1 percent a year, a number that is expected to go lower with the asset’s programmed issuance schedule.

Bitcoin Annual Inflation Rate

Traders, therefore, continue to watch these indicators because the labor and price trends influence the outlook of policy changes and performance of assets in the traditional and digital markets.

Bitcoin Price Eyes $80,000 Floor Amid Key Support Breakdown

Over the past three weeks, the Bitcoin price showed a brief relief rally from $80,537 to $86,605 accounting for a 7.5% surge. Notably, the upstream remains tightly contained between two converging trend lines, indicating the formation of a traditional bearish continuation pattern called inverted flag. 

The chart setup is characterized by a prevailing downtrend, displayed by a steep falling trend line, followed by a temporary recovery to recuperate the exhausted bearish momentum. On Monday, the conference gave a decisive breakout from the party’s support trendline, completing its setup and accelerating the market’s selling pressure. 

The daily momentum indicator, RSI, at 37%, accentuates the bearish negative sentiment in the price for a prolonged downtrend. 

The post-breakout fall could push the price another 7% before retesting the bottom support dollar $86,600.

Bitcoin Price

On the other hand, if the Bitcoin price rebounds and reclaim the bottom support trendline at $90,000, the bearish thesis would get invalidated.

Sahil MahadikSahil Mahadik
Written By Sahil Mahadik

Sahil Mahadik is a market writer at CryptoNewsZ with over three years of experience. He tracks price action and market trends in the crypto world. His work has appeared in major outlets like Pepper Content. Sahil specializes in technical analysis. He uses tools like on-chain data and chart patterns to find trading signals. He is also covering long-form price predictions. Sahil writes popular guides on the best altcoins to invest in and top crypto picks for long-term growth. As an active trader, he uses his hands-on experience with DeFi tools and exchanges to give readers simple, data-backed advice.

Harsh ChauhanHarsh Chauhan
Fact Checked By Harsh Chauhan

Harsh Chauhan is a Senior News Editor at CryptoNewsZ. He has spent years reporting on the digital economy. He focused on DeFi, NFTs, AI, and digital asset developments. Harsh has a BBA in Marketing and a Blockchain Foundation certification. He does more than just share news. He uses on-chain data to explain Bitcoin ETFs and tokenized assets. Harsh is also a hands-on user. He has been staking and trading NFTs since 2021. His work helps readers understand a complex market with simple, data-backed facts.

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