Trump Leads Harris in Polymarket & Kalshi Betting Odds!

Donald Trump Leads Kamala Harris in Odds on Polymarket & Kalshi Betting

The probability of Donald Trump winning the election on the Polymarket platform has risen to 58.9%, while the probability of Kamala Harris winning the election has dropped to 41.1%. Trump, thus, is now leading Harris by over 16 percentage points.

The Presidential Election Winner bet on Polymarket has amassed a market volume of over $3 billion now.

Trump leading on Polymarket
Courtesy: Polymarket

When it comes to probabilities of victory on other market prediction platforms like Kalshi, Trump’s odds at 56.9% are leading that of Kamala Harris’ at 43.1%. Kalshi also shows Kamala leading in two swing states of Michigan and Wisconsin respectively.

Trump leading on Kalshi
Courtesy: Kalshi

Kalshi also shows the probability of Republicans winning Senate elections stands at 80%, and Democrats lead at 52% when it comes to the party that can win the house.  As of November 3, 75 million voters in the US have already voted either in person early or by mail-in ballots. This figure is, however, equivalent to half of all votes cast in the 2020 US election.

Among the early voters in the US this year, 37.9% are registered as Democrats and 36.2% are registered as Republicans.

In 2020, a total of 155 million American voters participated in the election. Notably, early voting schedules differs across US states and territories, and so far, in at least 9 states, over half of eligible voters have already voted early.

 

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Ritu Lavania
Written by Ritu Lavania

Ritu Lavania is a versatile Web3 content creator with over three years of experience in the crypto space. She is part of the team at CryptoNewsZ, where she writes insightful and engaging content. She has also contributed to TheCryptoTimes and The Coin Edition, where her work has been well received by the crypto community. Skilled in research, creative writing, SEO, and cross-functional collaboration, she creates content tailored to diverse audiences. Passionate about education, she dedicates time to teaching kids and expressing herself through poetry. Always eager to learn, she continuously explores new trends in blockchain and digital assets. She believes in the power of storytelling to make complex crypto topics more accessible and engaging for readers worldwide.