Will Swing States Favor Harris Over Trump in the US Election?

Trump Trump

Donald J. Trump has taken the poll lead over Kamala Harris since before Elon Musk joined him on the campaign trail. Now, Trump has taken the lead in swing states. As their name implies, swing states — also known as battleground states — have the potential to sway the outcome of a national election.

Trump leads Kamala to be POTUS

According to recent polls ahead of the Nov 5th election, Trump has taken a lead over Kamala in the last month. This year, the states being closely watched are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Minnesota. Also, North Carolina has been added to 2024’s watch list.

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Election data shows that Donald Trump leads in all 7 swing states, and the races in Minnesota and Virginia are tightening. Trump is on the rise, with 18 days to go until the election.

Swing States polls in the 2024 Elections
Swing States polls in the 2024 Elections

Political bets on Polymarket have also taken a twist. Currently, Trump leads with 60.7%, while Kamala has a 39.3% chance of being the President of the United States. Political betting sites have surged amid what Elon Musk calls the most important elections in American history. 

Musk says, “I haven’t been politically active before. I’m politically active now because I think the future of America and the future of civilization is at stake.” There remain 18 days to the Nov elections, and all stakes are in for Trump, Kamala, Republicans, Democrats, and market traders. 

Crypto-based political betting sites like Polymarket have taken over market bets, allowing users to wager on political outcomes using digital currencies.

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By the looks of things – from the data on betting sites – Kamala is losing the elections to Trump. Only time will tell who the 47th president of the United States will be. The bets are in.