From Crash to Comeback: Can XRP Flip $3.50?

From Crash to Comeback: Can XRP Flip $3.50

With the Bitcoin price back at $98,000, altcoins are on a recovering rally. Among the quick-to-recover altcoins, XRP marks a magnificent hammer candle in the daily chart, with a bounce back to $2.51 after a 24-hour low at $1.76.

Is XRP on the verge of creating a morning star pattern? More importantly, will this drive the XRP price to a new all-time high by crossing the $3.50 psychological zone?

XRP Price Action: Key Levels and Technical Indicators

In the daily chart, the XRP price action reveals four consecutive bearish candles. However, the intraday candle marks a significant lower price rejection after reaching levels last seen on November 29, 2024.

XRP Price Chart

Currently, with the massive bounce back from its 24-hour low, XRP is aiming to reclaim the 50-day EMA line. However, the recovery run faces opposition from the Dynamic Average line and the 23.60% Fibonacci level.

The Fibonacci resistance is priced at $2.58. Due to the recent double-top reversal from $3.17, the daily RSI line dropped to nearly oversold levels, marking a significant surge in selling pressure.

However, the chances of a reversal have significantly increased with the broader market recovery.

Optimism Rises in the Derivatives Market

With the short-term recovery, speculations are starting to rise in the derivatives market. The funding rate of XRP has bounced back from –0.0648% to –0.0042%, revealing a sharp decline in sellers willing to hold short positions.

XRP Derivatives

As the funding rate is on the verge of re-entering the positive zone, the open interest stands at $3.81 billion. The long-to-short ratio remains at 0.945, indicating a slightly greater number of selling positions in the market.

The significant recovery in the XRP sentiments come after a significant whale offloading over the past year. In a recent X post by Ali Martinez, using the data from Santiment, he highlighted a major selling of a massive offloading of 130 million XRP tokens during the broader market crash.

XRP tokens Charts

Hence, comparing the sentiments and the landscape shift over the past 24 hours, the chances of a bullish recovery seem significantly higher.

Key Price Targets: Can XRP Break $3.17?

As price action analysis and speculation in the derivatives market hint at a potential recovery, the trend-based Fibonacci levels highlight crucial price targets. The 50% level is priced at $3.17.

Optimistically, a bullish breakout of $3.17 will likely propel the XRP price to the 78.60% Fibonacci level at $3.80, bringing the $4.28 price target onto the bullish radar.

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Arnold Kirimi
Written by Arnold Kirimi

Arnold Kirimi is a crypto and Web3 journalist from Nairobi, Kenya. With a sharp eye for emerging trends and a talent for demystifying blockchain jargon, he transforms complex concepts into compelling narratives. Featured in top outlets like Cointelegraph, DailyCoin, and CryptoSlate, Kirimi blends deep expertise with a unique perspective, guiding seasoned investors and curious newcomers through the ever-evolving crypto landscape. His passion for decentralized technology drives him to explore its real-world impact, providing readers with insightful analysis on adoption, regulation, and innovation shaping the future of digital finance. Committed to making blockchain knowledge accessible, he continually researches and reports on industry breakthroughs, helping readers navigate the rapidly changing world of cryptocurrencies.