Hyperliquid Price Prediction

Hyperliquid has established itself as a dominant force in decentralized perpetuals trading, capturing an estimated ~70% share of the DEX derivatives market as of February 2026. The platform’s custom Layer-1 blockchain architecture delivers centralized exchange-like execution speeds while maintaining full decentralization, attracting professional traders seeking deep liquidity without typical counterparty risks. 

In this Hyperliquid price prediction, we will examine the HYPE token’s potential trajectory through 2030, analyzing how trading volume sustainability, the Assistance Fund’s buyback-and-burn mechanism, and scheduled token unlocks will shape valuation outcomes.

Key Takeaways

  • HYPE’s valuation correlates directly with perpetuals trading volume on its custom blockchain infrastructure, not retail sentiment cycles.
  • The Assistance Fund buyback model uses protocol fees to purchase and burn tokens, partially offsetting monthly unlock schedules.
  • Prices between 2026 and 2030 mostly depend on institutional adoption of on-chain derivatives, HyperEVM ecosystem growth, and sustained liquidity.
  • Monthly token unlocks introduce short-term supply pressure.

Hyperliquid’s long-term price outlook depends primarily on sustained derivatives trading volume and the protocol’s ability to offset token unlocks through fee-funded buybacks. Unlike most DeFi tokens, HYPE derives value from real usage rather than incentives. However, dilution risk and regulatory uncertainty make outcomes highly conditional.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) Statistics

Hyperliquid’s market position reflects its role as the leading on-chain derivatives platform. The following metrics provide essential context for valuation analysis.

Cryptocurrency Hyperliquid
Ticker Symbol HYPE
Current Price $ 29.65
Market Cap $ 7,069,991,063
Trading Volume$ 188,800,340
TVL (DeFi) $4.22 Billion
Sentiment Neutral

These metrics show HYPE’s direct sensitivity to trading activity, as higher perpetual volumes mean more revenue from fees and a larger capacity for the Assistance Fund to buy back tokens.

This analysis employs a revenue-based valuation framework anchored in Hyperliquid’s trading fee structure, which funds the Assistance Fund for token buybacks and burns. 

Our methodology balances protocol revenue against token unlock schedules to create scenario-based projections across bear cases, modeling volume contraction and net dilution, base cases assuming stable growth trajectories, and bull cases projecting institutional dominance of on-chain derivatives markets.

We also conduct technical analysis using indicators such as RSI and simple moving averages, which serve as secondary timing signals, not primary valuation drivers. The current neutral RSI reading of 49.55 suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, indicating range-bound trading behavior, without any major short-term drivers for volume.

We present possible outcomes across multiple scenarios rather than definitive forecasts. Cryptocurrency markets show massive volatility, and historical performance provides pattern recognition but no guarantee of future results.

This approach aligns with our established methodology at CryptoNewsZ, emphasizing fundamental drivers while noting the uncertainties that come with long-term projections.

Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2026–2030

Long-term Hyperliquid price projections model HYPE’s potential price movements across Bull, base, and bear scenarios, based on revenue multiples from trading fees and supply dynamics alongside demand drivers to establish realistic price ranges for each projected year.

Bull case scenarios assume Hyperliquid expands its perpetual dominance to capture 80% or more of the DEX derivatives market share amid broader DeFi capital inflows. Base-case projections anticipate steady annual volume growth aligned with overall cryptocurrency market expansion. 

Bear case models account for intensified competition from platforms such as Aster and Solana, or macroeconomic conditions that contract trading activity substantially.

YearBear RangeBase RangeBull Range
2026$15-$25$30-$50$60-$80
2027$20-$35$40-$65$80-$110
2028$25-$45$50-$80$100-$150
2029$30-$55$60-$100$120-$200
2030$35-$70$80-$130$150-$250

These price ranges are derived from discounted cash flow approaches based on protocol revenue streams, checked against technical breakout levels such as reclaiming the 200-day moving average at $36.68 for bullish confirmation. 

For more cryptocurrency forecasting insights across multiple assets, explore our price prediction hub.

Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2026

In our 2026 HYPE price prediction, valuation is primarily influenced by the interaction between derivatives trading activity, token unlock absorption, and broader crypto liquidity conditions. 

If crypto perpetuals and commodities derivatives volumes expand meaningfully beyond current baselines, protocol revenue would increase proportionally, strengthening the Assistance Fund’s ability to absorb the entire unlocks. Portfolio margining and USDH gaining traction among active traders could improve capital efficiency, allowing traders to maintain larger positions with less collateral. 

A sustained expansion in open interest, deeper liquidity, and stronger participation from high-frequency and professional traders could amplify this effect.

In such a scenario, daily unlock emissions may be fully absorbed, potentially creating periods of net deflationary pressure on circulating supply. Technical confirmation of renewed strength would likely require decisive reclaim of long-term moving averages and consistent higher highs on weekly timeframes. 

Under these bullish conditions, HYPE could trade in a $60 to $80 range as valuation reflects accelerating revenue and tightening supply dynamics.

If growth remains steady but tracks general DeFi recovery patterns without exceeding them, buybacks may only partially offset unlock-related selling. In that case, price is projected to fluctuate between $30 and $50 as volatility persists within established ranges. 

In bearish scenarios where trading volumes contract or unlock pressure outweighs fee-based absorption, liquidity gaps may widen, pushing our HYPE projections lower toward the $15 to $25 range.

Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2027

By 2027, the emphasis may shift from short-term unlock dynamics to ecosystem maturity and institutional trust. If Hyperliquid successfully strengthens its reputation as a dominant on-chain derivatives venue through superior execution quality and deepening liquidity, sustained market depth would reinforce strong network effects. 

Professional desks and algorithmic traders typically lean toward venues offering tight spreads, low slippage, and reliable execution, creating a self-reinforcing cycle where liquidity attracts additional liquidity. 

If these characteristics persist, sustained trading activity could support expanding fee generation and stronger buyback capacity. In this bullish case, projections may build toward an $80 to $110 range as the protocol transitions from high-growth phase to established infrastructure status.

In our base case scenario, if growth continues but competitors gain notable traction, the market would likely price in steady progress without breakthrough performance. Trading volume could still increase year over year, but without decisive dominance. In that environment, HYPE’s price may trade between $40 and $65. 

Conversely, if liquidity fragments across alternative ecosystems or regulatory uncertainty reduces demand for leveraged trading, fee generation could decline.  Technical disruptions, including oracle failures, network congestion during high-volatility events, or smart contract vulnerabilities, could increase user migration to competing platforms. In this bear case, HYPE is expected to trade between $20 to $35.

Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2028

According to Hyperliquid price forecasts for 2028, macro-cycle positioning may play a larger role than protocol-specific fundamentals. If the broader crypto market enters an expansionary phase fueled by Bitcoin halving aftereffects and renewed institutional interest, derivatives volume typically rises sharply alongside spot market speculation as traders seek leveraged exposure to trending narratives. 

Should full-cycle liquidity inflows reach HyperEVM applications and perpetuals markets simultaneously, creating a convergence where DeFi developers build products on Hyperliquid’s infrastructure while traders flood into derivatives for leveraged exposure, trading activity could scale beyond current levels. Under these bullish conditions, HYPE is projected to trade in the $100 to $150 range.

If market tailwinds lift the cryptocurrency sector but capital disperses across multiple competing narratives, including alternative Layer-1 networks or non-derivatives sectors, Hyperliquid may experience only moderated growth despite favorable macro conditions. Hype is projected to range between $50 and $80 in this base case.

Bearish price forecasts suggest HYPE could trade in the $25-$45 range, assuming capital rotates aggressively toward alternative sectors such as novel Layer-1 ecosystems or meme coins that dominate speculative interest. Derivatives-focused chains may experience relative underperformance despite favorable overall market conditions.

Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2029

By 2029, expectations would likely center on whether HYPE can maintain valuation strength in a more mature phase of the cycle. Late-stage conditions often reduce speculative momentum, shifting attention toward revenue durability and structural relevance. 

The central consideration would be whether derivatives volume remains consistently elevated and whether fee-driven buybacks continue offsetting supply expansion without relying on narrative acceleration.

In a bullish scenario, Hyperliquid could evolve from a growth-focused protocol into a widely recognized core derivatives infrastructure within DeFi. If liquidity concentration remains strong and professional trading activity continues expanding, fee generation might remain resilient even during quieter market phases. Under these conditions, HYPE could trade toward the $120 to $200 range.

In a base-case environment, growth slows but remains positive. Trading volume stabilizes without accelerating, and revenue supports price without driving aggressive expansion. Our price projections suggest HYPE could trade in a range between $60 and $100.

In a bearish outcome, narrative fatigue or declining derivatives participation could reduce fee generation. If liquidity fragments or capital rotates elsewhere, valuation expectations might fall toward a range of $30 to $55.

Hyperliquid Price Prediction 2030

In our HYPE price prediction for 2030, HYPE’s valuation is expected to correlate directly with success in capturing durable market share within global derivatives trading, competing against both on-chain alternatives and centralized platforms in a more mature cryptocurrency ecosystem. 

Real usage metrics, including staking participation, governance activity, and fee generation, anchor value assessment beyond speculative positioning, as the market demands utility and sustainable economics.

The 2030 bull case assumes Hyperliquid successfully secures a large share of global derivatives trading volume across both decentralized and centralized venues through transparent margining, capital efficiency, and regulatory clarity. Revenue stability could justify bullish price targets in the $150 to $250 range.

The base case for 2030 assumes Hyperliquid maintains its relevance as a top DeFi protocol, generating consistent revenue that supports moderate token appreciation without achieving massive market penetration. If adoption stays meaningful but niche, with centralized exchanges retaining dominant derivatives share, price expectations may range between $80 and $130. 

Bearish price ranges could emerge if regulatory pressures targeting on-chain derivatives create operational challenges that limit market access and growth potential, or if technological displacement from unified rollup architectures fragments the derivatives landscape. 

In such a scenario, our projections suggest price valuation may compress toward the $35 to $70 range.

Hyperliquid Price Prediction Beyond 2030 (Long-Term Outlook)

Hyperliquid’s endurance in the growing multi-chain financial ecosystem depends fundamentally on sustained liquidity dominance and the platform’s reliability over time.

The network’s main competitive advantages are HyperCore’s central limit order book for derivatives matching efficiency, HyperEVM’s composability, and HyperBFT’s scalability supporting institutional-grade trading volumes.

Sustainable prices come from real economic activity measured in trillions of dollars of annual perps turnover, not just speculative positioning. Platforms that fail to evolve technologically risk getting replaced by unified rollups or Layer-2 solutions that consolidate liquidity across blockchain networks. 

Strategic innovation, including outcome contracts for prediction markets or options trading expansion, could secure long-term relevance if trading volumes compound consistently.

The main question is whether Hyperliquid can keep its technical advantages and network effects as cryptocurrency infrastructure matures. In the derivatives market, liquidity attracts additional liquidity, creating winner-take-most dynamics that favor established platforms. However, a decline in the quality of execution or stagnant technology could allow competing networks take over despite current market dominance.

Hyperliquid Architecture Explained: HyperCore, HyperEVM & HYPE Token

Hyperliquid functions as a purpose-built Layer-1 blockchain optimized for financial derivatives, with a particular focus on high-speed perpetuals trading infrastructure.

HyperCore & On-Chain Order Books

The architecture is made up of two complementary components. First, HyperCore, which operates a fully on-chain central limit order book (CLOB) that processes trades without intermediaries while delivering execution speeds comparable to centralized exchanges. 

HyperBFT Consensus & Execution Speed

The system achieves throughput capacity of 200,000 transactions per second through HyperBFT consensus, enabling sub-second finality for order matching and settlement. This infrastructure creates the deep liquidity pools and tight bid-ask spreads that attract institutional-grade trading activity.

HyperEVM & Developer Ecosystem

HyperEVM provides EVM-compatible smart contract functionality, allowing developers to deploy Ethereum-based applications without extensive code modifications. 

Its native bridging enables seamless HYPE token transfers between the trading layer and smart contract environment. Planned upgrades include comprehensive ERC20 token support and custom precompiles that enable HyperEVM contracts read data directly from Hypercore. 

HYPE Token Utility & Incentives

The HYPE token serves multiple purposes within this ecosystem. Trading fees are denominated in HYPE. Staking mechanisms allow token holders to secure network operations while earning yields that have reached 55% APY during peak trading periods. 

Governance rights enable HYPE holders to vote on protocol modifications through proposals such as HIP-3, which introduced permissionless market creation capabilities. Token holdings also provide tiered discounts on trading fees.

In 2026, Hyperliquid is still relevant because of its capacity to aggregate liquidity and execute order matching efficiently without relying on automated market maker models that create slippage and impermanent loss. 

The platform positions itself as a decentralized alternative to centralized exchanges, offering comparable trading experiences without KYC requirements and eliminating gas fees on core perpetual trades.

Advanced features, including portfolio margining, which enable traders to use positions across multiple markets as collateral, and the USDH stablecoin, solve specific problems that have prevented institutional capital from fully embracing on-chain derivatives platforms.

Current Market Context: Why HYPE Trades Where It Does

HYPE currently trades at $ 29.65, down significantly after reaching its $59 all-time-high in September 2025. The price of Hyperliquid has mostly consolidated since late 2025 to early. The market’s awareness of scheduled token unlocks affects sentiment even when actual distribution pressure is still limited, as traders factor future supply increases into current valuations.

Buyback operations absorb a large portion of the unlocked supply, though liquidity concentration in top trading pairs increases volatility. Hyperliquid’s 70% share of DEX perpetuals volume creates market dynamics where marginal changes in market share translate to massive valuation impacts.

On-chain data reveals whale accumulation patterns, with large holders increasing positions, which may be a signal of confidence. Price consolidation phases usually come before directional moves as markets digest supply and wait for volume catalysts. 

The neutral RSI indicates neither overbought nor oversold conditions, positioning HYPE for volatility in either direction contingent on trading activity trends and broader market sentiment shifts.

HYPE Token Supply, Unlocks, and Dilution Risk

Hyperliquid has a circulating supply of 238 million HYPE, about 24% of the total supply. HYPE token unlocks started in late 2025, with millions of tokens expected to be released monthly in 2026 through linear vesting schedules extending into 2028. Only about 140,000 HYPE tokens were unlocked in February 2026.

These scheduled unlocks distribute tokens to team members, ecosystem development funds, and liquidity providers who supported early platform development. 

The unlock structure creates dilution risks that affect short-term price action as new supply enters circulation. However, the Assistance Fund holds over $1.5 billion in value, providing buyback capacity to offset dilution when fee revenue is high. 

The buyback mechanism permanently removes purchased tokens from circulation through burning, creating deflationary pressure that can neutralize or offset inflation from unlocks if trading volumes stay strong. 

Full vesting completion after 2028 eliminates future supply overhang, but short-term distribution pressure persists without sustained volume growth to fund aggressive buybacks. The supply dynamics generate asymmetric outcomes as high volumes drive net deflation while low volumes result in net inflation.

Key Drivers Shaping Hyperliquid Price Outlook

Trading Volume & Liquidity Network Effects

In perpetual derivatives markets, liquidity concentration creates self-reinforcing advantages. Traders typically go where there are deep order books and tight bid-ask spreads, which makes it difficult for competing platforms once market dominance is established.

Hyperliquid’s deep order books enable position entry and exit with minimal market impact, attracting professional traders managing large capital. This dynamic attracts additional traders, creating deeper liquidity, which attracts more participants.

Assistance Fund & Buyback Mechanics

Trading fees flow directly into token removal mechanisms through the Assistance Fund, creating a revenue-to-value transmission that separates Hyperliquid from most crypto projects. The $1.5 billion fund grows along with adoption. Higher trading activity generates higher fee revenue, which funds larger buyback operations, reducing circulating supply.

This structure aligns token holder interests with platform usage. The mechanism’s effectiveness depends on sustained volume. Consistent trading activity over extended periods matters more than isolated high-volume days for long-term deflationary impact.

Ecosystem & Developer Adoption

HIP-3 permissionless market creation enables any user to propose new trading pairs, expanding the available markets beyond just crypto perpetuals into commodities, foreign exchange, or specialized derivative products. This flexibility attracts niche trading communities looking for markets that aren’t available on competing platforms.

HyperEVM composability attracts developers building DeFi applications that leverage high-speed derivatives infrastructure. These applications generate platform activity and fee revenue from users who may not directly trade perpetuals but contribute to overall ecosystem utilization.

Institutional Participation

Portfolio margining enables capital-efficient trading strategies that appeals institutional firms managing large positions across multiple markets. Instead of posting separate collateral for each position, portfolio margining allows the use of entire position portfolios as margin collateral.

Transparency advantages over centralized exchanges address concerns for professional trading operations. Centralized platforms are open to order book manipulation and preferential treatment, creating adverse selection problems for institutional traders. Hyperliquid’s fully on-chain execution ensures all traders can observe identical order books and receive the same execution quality.

Macro & Crypto Cycles

Risk-on market environments characterized by low Bitcoin dominance favor altcoin trading, including perpetual derivatives. When Bitcoin price consolidates, and traders seek volatility opportunities elsewhere, derivatives volumes typically surge. 

Also, risk-off conditions or extended bear markets can reduce derivatives volumes by up to 50% or more as traders reduce leverage exposure and position sizes.

Correlation with broader cryptocurrency market cycles means HYPE faces structural headwinds during long bear markets regardless of platform fundamentals. Bullish crypto markets increase volumes and fee generation, creating optimal conditions for buyback-driven token appreciation.

HYPE Market Cap Scenarios & Realistic Price Limits

Market capitalization frameworks provide essential reality checks for extreme HYPE price projections. At $100, HYPE’s market cap would be approximately $24 billion at the current circulating supply, representing a 3.5x expansion from February 2026 levels.

Achieving this valuation requires either substantial increases in trading volume, capturing 5 times the current volumes while maintaining existing fee structures, or broader cryptocurrency market appreciation.

Very optimistic assumptions, including capturing around 20% of global perpetuals trading volume across both decentralized and centralized platform would allow higher price targets, though those outcomes are unlikely without major regulatory shifts that could lead to institutional migration to decentralized platforms.

The difference between theoretical possibilities and realistic value outcomes is important for investment decision-making. Technical resistance levels like the $50 all-time high create short-term price ceilings that require large volume confirmation to break.

Analysis indicates base-case outcomes ranging from $80-$130 by 2030 may be the most likely trajectory with major developments.

Should You Actually Invest in Hyperliquid (HYPE)?

HYPE suits specific investor profiles. Active traders looking for exposure to perpetual derivatives growth could find strategic alignment with Hyperliquid’s revenue-linked tokenomics and usage-driven value mechanisms.

Long-term investors who believe in on-chain financial infrastructure evolution and can hold assets over multiple years could benefit from staking yields and potential appreciation as the ecosystem matures. Hyperliquid’s technical advantages and established market positioning support this investment thesis.

Low-risk investors should avoid HYPE due to volatility that exceeds Bitcoin by 2-3x based on historical data. Token unlock schedules through 2028 add supply that creates downward price pressure during weak market conditions.

Portfolio allocation strategies should limit HYPE exposure to under 5% for most investors, treating the position as a high-risk, high-reward position. Diversification across multiple DeFi protocols and cryptocurrency asset categories reduces platform-specific risks and execution dependencies.

Hyperliquid vs Competitors (Quick Comparison)

MetricHyperliquidAsterSolana
ArchitectureCustom Layer-1 (HyperCore + HyperEVM, HyperBFT)Multi-chain (BNB/Ethereum/Solana/Arbitrum)High-throughput Layer-1 (Proof-of-History)
Liquidity ModelOn-chain CLOB, concentrated perpetualsYield-bearing collateral, high leverage optionsBroad AMM/DeFi liquidity pools
Fees & IncentivesTiered low fees, buyback-and-burn mechanism0.005%/0.04% with volume discountsCompetitive fees, MEV-heavy environment
TransparencyFull on-chain execution, Assistance Fund auditsThird-party audits, bug bountiesEcosystem scrutiny, validator transparency

Hyperliquid leads in perp execution speed and operational transparency through fully on-chain order matching. Aster counters with multi-chain liquidity aggregation and innovative leverage product offerings. 

Solana offers a much larger DeFi ecosystem integration with substantially higher TVL across protocols. Unlike Solana, which serves as a general-purpose Layer-1, Hyperliquid is narrowly optimized for derivatives, which amplifies both upside and risk.

Regulatory Outlook for On-Chain Derivatives

Hyperliquid’s decentralized Layer-1 architecture creates a much different regulatory exposure compared to centralized exchanges. Instead of being positioned as a regulated financial services entity, its non-custodial, permissionless structure allows it to avoid direct enforcement actions targeting corporate entities.

Perpetuals trading faces uncertainties across jurisdictions, particularly regarding leverage restrictions and retail protection frameworks. Regulators in the United States and European Union have shown interest in limiting high-leverage product availability to retail investors. 

The structural approach views regulatory risk as an ongoing consideration, not necessarily an existential threat. Oracle dependencies and smart contract vulnerabilities present technical risks that could trigger regulatory enforcement if system failures harm users, though these differ from entity-level regulations affecting centralized platforms.

A balanced assessment recognizes that regulatory clarity could actually accelerate institutional adoption by establishing compliant operating frameworks. Ambiguity creates friction but allows continued operation in favorable jurisdictions while tech and market structures evolve.

Risks That Could Break the Bull Thesis

Regulatory pressure on on-chain derivatives

Coordinated regulatory action against leveraged on-chain derivatives could reduce trading volumes if major markets restrict platform access. Even without outright bans, regulatory ambiguity creates enough friction to discourage institutional participation. 

Decentralization provides resilience since there is no single entity to shut down, but if traders in key regions face legal uncertainty or access restrictions, volume deteriorates rapidly. Compliance costs and KYC requirements imposed on front-end interfaces could undermine the permissionless advantage that attracts users in the first place.

Liquidity concentration risk

Over-relying on a few high-volume pairs creates vulnerability to exploits or coordinated outflows. If the top three trading pairs account for most volume and one experiences an oracle failure or exploit, confidence across the entire platform takes a hit. HIP-3 market diversification helps spread risk, but remains incomplete as of early 2026.

Technical & Infrastructure Risks

HyperBFT consensus is relatively unproven at the scale needed for sustained institutional volumes. Network downtime during high-volatility events could destroy the reputation, attracting professional traders. 

Oracle manipulation or failures would directly undermine perpetuals’ pricing integrity, creating unfair liquidations that could drive users away. Smart contract vulnerabilities discovered after large TVL accumulation could trigger catastrophic losses.

Prolonged crypto downturn

Extended crypto bear markets historically cut derivatives activity in half as traders reduce risk exposure and leverage. This starves buyback mechanisms while unlocks continue through 2028, creating persistent selling pressure without the fee revenue to offset it. Lower volumes mean less staking yields, removing another incentive to hold.

Hyperliquid Price Prediction FAQs

Is Hyperliquid a good long-term investment?

Hyperliquid could be suitable for long-term, risk-tolerant investors who believe on-chain perpetuals trading will capture meaningful market share from centralized exchanges over multi-year timeframes. Conservative investors should avoid HYPE due to volatility, ongoing token unlocks creating supply pressure, and concentration risk from a derivatives-focused business model.
HYPE price surges typically follow rising perpetual trading volume, higher open interest, and increased Assistance Fund buybacks that absorb circulating supply.
HYPE reaching $100 is possible under bull scenarios, but would require sustained derivatives growth, an increase in trading volume, and strong buyback activity. At $10, HYPE would have a market capitalization growth to around $2.4 billion. Under favorable conditions, $100 becomes plausible in later-cycle scenarios, though timing remains highly uncertain.
Scenario estimates for 2030 range between $35 and $250, depending on global derivatives adoption and sustained liquidity dominance.
Hyperliquid offers transparent on-chain execution and better execution speed for perpetuals trading, with fully on-chain order matching. Centralized exchanges still provide deeper fiat integration and retail onboarding infrastructure.
Some risks HYPE investors should watch out for include regulatory constraints, Hyperliquid’s volume dependency, unlock dilution, technical disruptions, and competition from alternative derivatives platforms.
HYPE benefited from derivatives market dominance and a revenue-driven buyback structure. Many DeFi tokens rely on inflationary incentives rather than direct fee conversion.
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Sahil Mahadik
Written by Sahil Mahadik
With over three years of hands-on experience in the financial markets, Sahil has honed an exceptional proficiency in technical analysis, which is the cornerstone of his daily monitoring of price fluctuations in leading assets and indices. His foray into the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency began with a deep fascination for financial instruments. Sahil currently contributes to CryptoNewsZ but has also been featured in prominent publications like Coingape.