Bitcoin Price Bounces Back Above $77k: Will BTC Reclaim $80k?

Bitcoin Price Bounces Back Above $77k
Disclaimer: This article provides technical analysis and price predictions based on current market data. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk. This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

As the crypto market witnesses a downfall to $2.4 trillion, the liquidations in the market cap rise up to nearly $1.5 billion. Amid the increased fear in the market, Bitcoin momentarily breaks under the $75,000 mark, recording a 24-hour low at $74,446. 

Bitcoin is back at a trading price of $77,480. Will this short-term bounce back after the major crashing move propel Bitcoin back above the $80,000 mark? Let’s find out.

BTC Price Analysis: Expert Insights

In the 4-hour price chart, the Ethereum price trend showcases a bearish breakdown of the consolidation range. The lower support for the consolidation range stood at $78,572. 

Bitcoin price chart 11 scaled

The massive crash has dropped the Bitcoin price close to the S1 pivot support level at $74,000. The consolidation range breakdown quickly resulted in a stretch in the lower Bollinger band, signaling the start of a new bearish move. 

However, with a quick V-shaped reversal slightly before the S1 pivot support level, the result signals a potential retest. This quick retest brings a short-term relief but also warns of a post-retest reversal. 

In case of a post-retest reversal, the downside risk will significantly increase, bringing the S2 pivot support level in the bearish radar. The S2 pivot level is priced at $69,804. 

Hence, the short-term price action analysis warns of a steep correction below the $70,000 psychological support. Amid the declining prices, the 20-day SMA line acting as the central line of the Bollinger band witnesses a significant downtick. 

This is aligned with the short-term increase in supply pressure. However, on the optimistic side, a potential bounce-back crossing above the broken level of $78,572 could increase the chances of Bitcoin reclaiming the $80,000 mark. 

In such a case, the S2 pivot level at $81,374 will act as the immediate resistance level. This S2 pivot line coincides with the 20-day SMA line.

Bitcoin Futures Signal Downside Slowdown

With the massive surge in supply pressure, the open-interest-weighted funding rate remains positive at 0.0054%. However, the increased volatility has resulted in a major shakeout of crypto traders. 

BTC Derivatives

This has dropped the Bitcoin open interest by 2.84%, dropping it to $51.83 billion. Over the past 24 hours, the Bitcoin liquidations rose to $486.82 million. 

Out of the total 24-hour liquidations, the long liquidations account for $412.87 million, while the short-side liquidations account for $73.95 million. Despite the major crash, the optimism of top traders over centralized exchanges like Binance and OKX has witnessed a significant surge. 

This is highlighted by the long-to-short ratio of top traders by accounts and positions, ranging from 1.75 to 2.32.

Glassnode Spots Crucial Support at $74k

Amid the increasing volatility, Glassnode highlights the recent support for Bitcoin, forming at $74,000. The on-chain platform highlights this with the major supply cluster below $80,000, with over 50k BTC at $74.2k. 

Over the past five months, the crucial level has been mostly held by investors, steadily raising the average cost basis until March 10. However, the on-chain platform also highlights a downside. 

The next crucial substantial support is at $69.9k. This is the range of holding $68k BTC. The Glassnode also highlights the single largest level within the range of $74,000 to $70,000 at $71.6k, holding 41k BTC. The overall range holds 175k BTC.

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Sahil Mahadik
Written by Sahil Mahadik
With over three years of hands-on experience in the financial markets, Sahil has honed an exceptional proficiency in technical analysis, which is the cornerstone of his daily monitoring of price fluctuations in leading assets and indices. His foray into the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency began with a deep fascination for financial instruments. Sahil currently contributes to CryptoNewsZ but has also been featured in prominent publications like Coingape.